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As one of the fastest-growing and most sought-after quick-service restaurant chains in the United States, Chick-fil-A continues to be a significant player in the commercial real estate market. For commercial real estate investors and developers, understanding the trends and factors influencing Chick-fil-A's ground leases is crucial for making informed decisions.
Key Market Insights (2022-2024)
Over the past three years, Chick-fil-A's ground leases have exhibited certain trends that shed light on the brand's strategic site selection and investment approach. These leases, typically 15 years long with 10% escalations every five years, are corporately guaranteed, making them attractive investments for property owners.
Rent Per Acre Trends:
The average rent per acre for Chick-fil-A ground leases has fluctuated, with a higher average in 2022 compared to 2023 and 2024. This variation can largely be attributed to the inclusion of premium locations like New York and California in the 2022 data.
On average, across all locations, the rent per acre settled at approximately $101,039.
Lot Size and Value Correlation:
There is a noticeable inverse relationship between lot size and rent per acre. Larger parcels tend to command lower rents per acre, which is consistent with findings from similar analyses in other sectors.
The average lot size for Chick-fil-A locations analyzed was 1.63 acres, with the most common range being between 1.1 and 1.8 acres.
Site Selection Priorities:
Traffic counts and population density within a 3-mile radius are significant factors that influence Chick-fil-A’s ground rent per acre. Higher traffic and denser populations generally correlate with higher rents, underscoring Chick-fil-A’s preference for locations that offer greater visibility and customer accessibility.
Interestingly, median household income within the same radius shows little to no correlation with the rent per acre, indicating that Chick-fil-A values traffic and customer access over income levels in its site evaluations.
Implications for Investors and Developers
For those looking to attract Chick-fil-A or similar quick-service tenants, focusing on locations with high traffic and moderate to large population densities is likely to result in more favorable lease terms. Additionally, optimizing the lot size to meet operational needs without excess acreage could be key to negotiating better rents.
As the market for ground leases continues to evolve, particularly in a high-interest-rate environment, understanding these dynamics will be crucial for both developers and investors looking to maximize their returns on Chick-fil-A properties.
Conclusion
Chick-fil-A’s ground lease trends from 2022 to 2024 highlight the importance of strategic location selection, with traffic counts and population density playing pivotal roles in determining rent per acre. As Chick-fil-A continues to expand, these insights will be valuable for those involved in the commercial real estate market, offering a roadmap for maximizing the potential of these highly desirable properties. commercial real estate market, offering a roadmap for maximizing the potential of these highly desirable properties.
We use advanced mapping and demographics tools to study the markets and help identify the best locations
We focus on off-market opportunities, and have a proven track record of finding killer sites
We can assist with negotiation, due diligence, transaction management, and entitlement
We help identify markets that meet your client's requirements, and handle the market analysis, phone calls and emails required to find sites, and let you focus on deal-making.
We can evaluate residuals, and help you put together multi-tenant deals--we handle REO and Surplus property work for other national developers and retailers.
You need a team with access to detailed analysis, ensuring you're not leaving money on the table.
Click on the button below to schedule a time to talk with one of our advisors. We'll ask some questions about your goals, and we'll collect information about your site selection needs.
We'll present you with a proposal to move forward. This will have detailed information about our process along with case studies and success stories from similar assignments.
We'll talk together and decide if our team is a fit for the assignment. We may not be the right team to work with your company, and we try to be careful to work with companies whose values match our own.
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